“Home sales far exceeded expectations last month, surging to the highest level in 2 1/2 years as first-time buyers rushed to take advantage of an expiring tax credit.
The National Association of Realtors said Monday that home resales rose 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million in October, from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September.”
During a speech to the National Association of Realtors in San Diego, FHA Commissioner David Stevens said his agency is not headed for the same fate as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the subprime sector. Concerns about the FHA’s financial well being were raised last week when it was revealed in an independent audit that the agency’s funds were below legal guidelines.
The Commissioner sought to minimize these concerns, reporting the agency had $31 billion in capital – an increase of $3.5 billion from a year ago.
Stevens went on to say that the FHA is “the only participant in home financing services in the U.S. economy that hasn’t needed a bailout, hasn’t needed (funds from the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program), hasn’t needed special assistance and is still completely self-sustaining.”
The AP reports the FHA has insured almost 25 percent of all new loans made in 2009. Eighty-percent of these loans represent first time home buyers.
Stevens rejected comparisons between the FHA and the subprime market. “Nothing could be further from the truth,” he said, stressing the FHA has far more stringent underwriting guidelines for the loans it insures.
As the unemployment rate has risen, so have FHA’s losses. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, approximately 17 percent of FHA borrowers are at least one payment behind or in foreclosure. This compares with 13 percent for all loans.
The FHA does not make loans. It insures against default, taking much of the risk away from lenders. FHA loans have grown in popularity in recent years as credit markets have tightened up. The agency’s 203K rehab loan is also growing in popularity as more first-time home buyers purchase foreclosures.
DHW asks: Do you think the FHA is at risk of needing a government bailout?
As any good Realtor will tell you, price moves a home. But sometimes Realtors (as well as sellers) are afraid to take their own advice. As housing evaluations have dropped around the country, listing prices have been slow to follow. To get the job done, and your home sold, a price reduction might be in order. However, nothing beats pricing a home correctly from the start. Even with price reductions, you may never fully catch up the the market. No groundhog has popped its head up to officially declare the housing decline over.
Here is a slide show of cities leading the country in price reductions.
Zero percent kitchen: n. a kitchen remodeled at the height of the real estate and credit bubble, between 2001 and 2006, featuring high-end details such as granite or Corian countertops; designer cabinets; stainless steel appliances and upgraded flooring (e.g. hardwood or travertine tile). Improvements were paid for with zero percent financing programs originated at home improvement stores.
When the dust finally settles from the collapse of the housing and credit markets, one indelible mark will remain: the zero percent kitchen. Prior to the run on home prices in the early 2000’s, and easy access to credit, solid-surface countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hardwood floors were appointments once reserved for high-end homeowners. With the advent of zero percent financing by such superstores as The Home Depot and Lowe’s Home Improvement, these upgrades became easier to attain for middle class America. Of course, this came at a cost to consumers. After six moths to one year, interest rates under these credit programs skyrocketed to nearly 30% on unpaid balances.
With short sales, foreclosures and other distressed sales on the rise, today’s homebuyer has a greater opportunity to purchase an entry level home with a zero percent kitchen. Although the return on investment is not as high as it once was for these improvements, it can give a home a big edge in the market place when competing with properties that still have the builder’s standard kitchen.
If you are a buyer looking at foreclosures, and the homes you like lack a zero percent kitchen, don’t worry. The FHA 203k rehab loan may still afford you the opportunity of having your dream kitchen.
And don’t get us started on the zero-percent bathroom.
DHW: Do you think the ‘zero percent kitchen’ will stand the test of time?
Did you know: The term ‘zero percent kitchen,’ originated on desperatehousewise.com
A survey released last week by Move.com, a real estate website, shows 1 in 5 Americans plan on purchasing a home within the next year. The survey also revealed these buyers are most likely to be 34 years of age or younger and live in the South or West.
It should be noted this survey was taken before the housing tax credit extensions were announced.
DHW asks: Do you intend to buy a home within the next year?
The Capital published an intriguing article addressing the potential side-effects of expanding the housing tax credits beyond first time homebuyers. The article raises some fair questions with regard to existing homes needing to be liquidated so that current homeowners can take advantage of the housing tax credits now afforded to them. The Capital article focuses on housing inventory in D.C. and its surrounding area. However, this potential side-effect could present itself in other parts of the country.
DHW asks: Do you think expanding the housing tax credits beyond first time homebuyers will increase housing inventories?
Recovery of the commercial real estate market remains in question as the Moody’s commercial property index dropped 3 percent in October. The index is down over 32 percent from a year ago and over 40 percent from two years ago.
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported loan activity for commercial and multifamily real estate fell 54 percent in the third quarter from a year ago.
DHW asks: Is the commercial real estate market in your area on the decline?
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, predicted on Friday that home prices will rise in 2010. If his prediction holds true, home prices will see their first increase in four years.
Yun pointed to the current price-income ratio of 2.4 as evidence of pent-up demand in the market. The price-income ratio accelerated from a norm of 2.6 in 1984-2001 to 3.3 in 2005. This means the price-income ratio has dipped below its pre-bubble rate.
The housing tax credit extension is also seen as a contributing factor to rising homes prices next year.
DHW asks: Do you think home prices will rise in 2010?
Despite a drop in jobless claims and and a bullish stock market, the Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers reports its consumer sentiment index for November plunged to 66 from 70.6 in October. Some had expected the November preliminary sentiment index to rise.