While keeping your home certainly trumps living on the street with a higher credit score, a loan modification can knock as much as 105 more points off your credit score than a foreclsoure.
According to a published article in the Detroit Free Press, a “loan modification to get a lower mortgage payment and stay in your home could impact your credit score. In some cases, consumers could see credit scores drop by 100 to 150 points.” If you have a home foreclosure, you could see your credit score drop by 45 to 100 points.
DHW asks: Do you think this credit scoring is fair?
The report from RealtyTrac brought some good news for the the housing market. However, this morning’s disappointing unemployment figures might dampen the celebration.
Home price inched up in September, the fourth consecutive monthly increase. The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index of major cities, released on Tuesday, inched up 0.3 percent. The seasonally adjusted reading in September was 144.96. But the index looked weaker than in months past, with prices increasing month-over-month in only 11 metro areas (the index looks at 20 cities).
Year-over-year
Prices were down 9.4 percent from last year, the smallest year-over-year decline since January 2008.
With unemployment and foreclosures continuing to hit record numbers, many experts feel this positive movement is not sustainable.
DHW asks: Do you think the housing market has hit bottom?
The Mortgage Bankers Association released a sobering report showing the housing recovery has a long road ahead. Here are some highlights (or low-lights) of their report.
1-in-4 of every Florida mortgage is behind in payments or in foreclosure
Nationally, 14 percent of mortgages are behind in payments or in foreclosure
Lost jobs are the main cause of homeowners falling behind on mortgage payments (unemployment is not expected to peak until next spring or summer)
Prime fixed-rate loans to borrowers with good credit made up 33 percent of foreclosures last quarter (up from 21 percent last year)
Subprime loans with adjustable rates made up 16 percent of foreclosures last quarter (down from 35 percent last year)
18 percent of FHA borrowers are behind in payments at least one month or in foreclosure.
DHW asks: When do you see the housing market hitting bottom?
During a speech to the National Association of Realtors in San Diego, FHA Commissioner David Stevens said his agency is not headed for the same fate as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the subprime sector. Concerns about the FHA’s financial well being were raised last week when it was revealed in an independent audit that the agency’s funds were below legal guidelines.
The Commissioner sought to minimize these concerns, reporting the agency had $31 billion in capital – an increase of $3.5 billion from a year ago.
Stevens went on to say that the FHA is “the only participant in home financing services in the U.S. economy that hasn’t needed a bailout, hasn’t needed (funds from the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program), hasn’t needed special assistance and is still completely self-sustaining.”
The AP reports the FHA has insured almost 25 percent of all new loans made in 2009. Eighty-percent of these loans represent first time home buyers.
Stevens rejected comparisons between the FHA and the subprime market. “Nothing could be further from the truth,” he said, stressing the FHA has far more stringent underwriting guidelines for the loans it insures.
As the unemployment rate has risen, so have FHA’s losses. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, approximately 17 percent of FHA borrowers are at least one payment behind or in foreclosure. This compares with 13 percent for all loans.
The FHA does not make loans. It insures against default, taking much of the risk away from lenders. FHA loans have grown in popularity in recent years as credit markets have tightened up. The agency’s 203K rehab loan is also growing in popularity as more first-time home buyers purchase foreclosures.
DHW asks: Do you think the FHA is at risk of needing a government bailout?
Zero percent kitchen: n. a kitchen remodeled at the height of the real estate and credit bubble, between 2001 and 2006, featuring high-end details such as granite or Corian countertops; designer cabinets; stainless steel appliances and upgraded flooring (e.g. hardwood or travertine tile). Improvements were paid for with zero percent financing programs originated at home improvement stores.
When the dust finally settles from the collapse of the housing and credit markets, one indelible mark will remain: the zero percent kitchen. Prior to the run on home prices in the early 2000’s, and easy access to credit, solid-surface countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hardwood floors were appointments once reserved for high-end homeowners. With the advent of zero percent financing by such superstores as The Home Depot and Lowe’s Home Improvement, these upgrades became easier to attain for middle class America. Of course, this came at a cost to consumers. After six moths to one year, interest rates under these credit programs skyrocketed to nearly 30% on unpaid balances.
With short sales, foreclosures and other distressed sales on the rise, today’s homebuyer has a greater opportunity to purchase an entry level home with a zero percent kitchen. Although the return on investment is not as high as it once was for these improvements, it can give a home a big edge in the market place when competing with properties that still have the builder’s standard kitchen.
If you are a buyer looking at foreclosures, and the homes you like lack a zero percent kitchen, don’t worry. The FHA 203k rehab loan may still afford you the opportunity of having your dream kitchen.
And don’t get us started on the zero-percent bathroom.
DHW: Do you think the ‘zero percent kitchen’ will stand the test of time?
Did you know: The term ‘zero percent kitchen,’ originated on desperatehousewise.com
U.S. foreclosures sank for a third consecutive month in October, down 3% from the previous month. However, many feel this trend will not continue. Foreclosure notices were curtailed in many states due to temporary, legislative intervention. CNBC reported Nevada foreclosures “dropped 26 percent from the previous month because of new legislation requiring mediation before initiating foreclosure proceedings.” Illinois had similar legislation, but foreclosure notices skyrocketed there 56% in October from the previous month.
In a CNBC interview this morning, Realogy CEO, Richard Smith, called on FHA to increase its minimum required down payment of 3.5%. Mr Smith suggested the ‘risk profile’ will have to change to stave off foreclosures. This argument only perpetuates the myth that those who put less money down are somehow less attached to their home than those who put down a significant amount. Mr Smith should have taken the opportunity to call on the administration and Congress to cure the real problems that cause mortgage delinquencies.
The Urban Institute, a Washington D.C. based think tank, issued a study recently that revealed some interesting, though not surprising, data. Those who put little or no money down tend to be more poor than those who put, say, 20% down. They are also less likely to have health insurance. Someone who has health insurance is more likely to miss less work due to an illness than someone who has no insurance. This is only one example cited in the Institute’s report.
Although many pundits, including Mr Smith, suggest the nation’s recovery is tied to housing, it is not. It is tied to job creation. You cannot have a 10% unemployment rate and expect to have a stabilizing housing market.
Reology is the world’s largest brokerage operator. They own Coldwell Banker, Century 21, Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate and ERA.
DHW asks: Do you think the FHA should increase its minimum required down payment?
Critics of the Housing Tax Credit were quieted, if only briefly, when the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released data for third quarter home sales. According to the trade group, home sales increased by nearly 6% over this same time last year. Despite the spike in sales, prices have fallen more than 11% during the same period. The U.S. median existing single-family price for the third quarter was $177,900.
Opponents of the housing tax credit feared an inflationary reaction in home prices. Although housing inventories are down, existing units still outweigh the demand.
NAR chief economist, Lawrence Yun, predicts home prices will stabalize next spring. His prediction may be overly optimistic. Foreclosures and short sales made up 30% of thrid quarter sales. There is no real evidence to suggest foreclosures will take a breather in 2010.
DHW asks: Do you see a bottom to the housing market?